Technical Reports

Human Factors Phase IV: Risk Analysis Tool for New Train Control Technology

  • 01
  • Dec
  • 2005
AUTHOR: Edward J. Lanzilotta and Thomas B. Sheridan
OFFICE: RPD
REPORT NUMBER: DOT/FRA/ORD-04/17
KEYWORDS: automation, high-speed trains, human factors, human-in-the-loop simulation, risk estimation, safety, supervisory controls, train control, transportation
ABSTRACT: This report covers the theoretical development of the safety state model for railroad operations. Using data from a train control technology experiment, experimental application of the model is demonstrated. A stochastic model of system behavior is developed which is used to estimate the dynamic risk probability in a human-machine system. This model is based on a discrete Markov process model. Based on observer behavior of an existing system, the model is used to determine an instantaneous risk probability function, which is dependent on the system state.

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